AccuScore has the Grizzlies as solid 63.7 percent favorites to win, a number that would warrant -175 at the bet window. However, value seekers are in luck because bettors can find the Grizzlies at -150 at the window. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 101-98 and there is a 58.1 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 203.5.
There is a 53.3 percent chance the Grizzlies cover a -3.5 spread, a 2-star (out of 4) AccuScore hot trend. Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five games at home.
The biggest difference between the two team’s box scores is the rebounding. In simulations Memphis averages 7-8 more rebounds than Dallas, including about 2-3 more offensive rebounds.
Keep an Eye Out: The turnovers for Dallas and steals for Memphis stand out in the simulated box score as well. Memphis averages about four more steals and commits 2-3 fewer turnovers than Dallas. In a game projected to be this close, just a few turnovers can have a huge impact on the outcome.
Projected Leaders Monta Ellis: 17 points, 6 assists, 4 rebounds, 1 steal, 4 TOs Marc Gasol: 16 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks, 1 steal, 2 TOs
Supporting Trends: The Grizzlies are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.
TUESDAY NBA PROPOSITIONS
RAPTORS @ CAVALIERS
LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 16.5 -110 UNDER 16.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS+ASSISTS BY: KYLE LOWRY (TOR) OVER 30.5 -110 UNDER 30.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS BY: LEBRON JAMES (CLE) OVER 24.5 -110 UNDER 24.5 -110
MAVERICKS @ GRIZZLIES
TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 14.5 -110 UNDER 14.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS BY: MONTA ELLIS (DAL) OVER 19.5 -110 UNDER 19.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS+ASSISTS BY: MIKE CONLEY (MEM) OVER 23.5 -110 UNDER 23.5 -110
BUCKS @ THUNDER
LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 18.5 -110 UNDER 18.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS BY: KEVIN DURANT (OKC) OVER 25.5 -110 UNDER 25.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS+ASSISTS BY: RUSSELL WESTBROOK (OKC) OVER 31.5 -110 UNDER 31.5 -110
HEAT @ SUNSTOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 17.5 -110 UNDER 17.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS BY: CHRIS BOSH (MIA) OVER 21.5 -110 UNDER 21.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS BY: ERIC BLEDSOE (PHX) OVER 19.5 -110 UNDER 19.5 -110
PLAYERS MUST PLAY FOR ACTION, NO PARLAYS
Visit AccuScore.com for more NBA picks
Play Daily Fantasy Basketball
